Agentic AI: From Promise to First Real Business Impact
My agent prediction was partly right, but the reality was uneven. The strongest agentic shift happened in software development, moving far faster than expected. This created an agentic divide, as enterprise automation hit a wall due to fragmented processes.
Now, in March 2026, I think this prediction was partly right. We did see a major shift from generative AI to more agentic systems. But the reality is more uneven than many people expected. Some areas moved very fast. Others are still much more limited than the hype suggested. That is why, for me, the real story is not that agents are suddenly everywhere. It is that agents became real first where the environment was already ready for them.
The coding catalyst: where the value became real
Honestly, this progress was above my expectations for 2025. We have clearly moved from simple autocomplete to something closer to delegation-first workflows, where the engineer increasingly becomes a supervisor, reviewer, and decision-maker rather than the person doing every step manually. Cursor now openly presents agents as a way to hand off implementation while you focus on decisions. OpenAI describes Codex as a software engineering agent that can work on many tasks in parallel. GitHub describes Copilot agent mode as an autonomous peer programmer able to read files, propose edits, run commands, and iterate on its own output.This was the real surprise for me: the strongest agentic shift happened first in software development, and it happened faster than I expected.
The agentic divide: coding vs. enterprise
A lot of first-generation frameworks and platforms were presented as if they would become magic tools for process automation. In reality, most of them were useful building blocks, but not complete solutions. Real business workflows are rarely linear. They involve loops, exceptions, approvals, state, poor data quality, and many hidden dependencies.
A new generation of agents is emerging
Instead of waiting for one prompt after another, these agents are increasingly designed to observe, act, monitor, and continue working across tools and environments with less direct supervision. That is visible in coding, but also in newer operational agent projects like OpenClaw, which presents itself as a personal AI assistant and autonomous agent able to interact with files, the browser, messaging tools, and system-level actions.
Why first-generation frameworks were not enough
Why? Because the hard part was never only connecting a model to a tool. The hard part is making the system reliable inside the reality of a company: permissions, compliance, bad data, unclear ownership, broken workflows, change management, and the fact that most organizations are not designed to work with autonomous systems.
2026 should be the year of specialized business agents
This is why I believe 2026 will be the real beginning of the next phase. Not because all companies will suddenly become autonomous, and not because entire businesses will run on agents overnight. But because we are reaching the point where specialized agents can start doing real work in specific parts of companies.This will probably happen first in narrow, high-value use cases:
- customer support
- sales operations
- internal research
- legal support
- translation
- marketing production
- consulting support tasks
- reporting and internal coordination
For now, these are still early shocks, not a full transformation. But I expect the pace of change to accelerate this year. What happened in coding will not stay limited to coding.
The SaaS pressure is only the beginning
This does not mean SaaS disappears. But it does mean that many software products will need to be redesigned around a world where the main user is not only a human, but also an agent. Even investment and operator discussions are now shifting toward questions of API control, access to systems of record, and what happens when AI products depend on data that incumbents can restrict. A good example is this a16z piece on the new API battleground.
Security, control, and business reality
This is also why I think the winners in this space will not only be the companies with the smartest models, but the ones that can create reliable, auditable, controllable agentic systems.
My own experience
What I find most striking is that this shift is not only technological. It is also personal and organizational.
The hardest part is often not the technology itself. It is the readiness to rethink roles, workflows, decisions, and responsibility. At some point, you stop asking how AI can help one person work faster, and you start asking how a company should be designed if agents can take over an increasing part of execution.That is a very different question. For me, this shift is opening the possibility to build an entirely new business based on AI and agents. Not as a side feature, but as a core operating model.We are still early. But the direction is becoming hard to ignore.
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